Heiliger Strohsack! Deutsche steigende Inflation

 German inflation accelerated in February, rising 9.3% on the year and 1% on the month, Germany’s Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reported on Wednesday.

The jump in consumer prices, harmonized to compare with other European Union countries, was higher than expected by the office’s economists.

According to the report, soaring energy and food prices, in particular, had a substantial impact on the top EU economy’s inflation rate. Preliminary data indicated that in February, food prices showed above-average growth of 21.8% compared with the same month of the previous year. “Despite the relief measures, energy prices were 19.1% higher in February 2023 than in February 2022,” Destatis said.

Although the inflation rate may fall in the coming months because energy prices are unlikely to rise as strongly as they did in spring 2022, this does not mean that inflation is over,” Commerzbank economic researcher Ralph Solveen told Reuters, commenting on the data.

The Destatis report follows earlier releases from French and Spanish statistical offices which showed that surging food and energy prices had also dealt a blow to the Eurozone’s second and fourth-largest economies. Consumer prices in both countries resumed their upward trend in February, according to the reports.

Economists say inflation in the 20-nation Eurozone will continue rising in the coming months, prompting more interest rate hikes by the European Central Bank. The ECB has already promised to raise rates by 50 basis points to 3% in March, to get soaring inflation in the bloc under control. It may still need to raise interest rates significantly beyond March, as inflation remains too high, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel warned earlier.

Gott im Himmel! Where’s it all gone, Germany?

Interest owed on Germany’s public debt has soared from €4 billion ($4.2 billion) in 2021 to €40 billion (over $42 billion) currently, German Finance Minister Christian Lindner revealed on Monday.

This is the money that we will not have enough of for other purposes in the future: education, digitalization and investment in climate protection. Thus, it makes economic sense to contain the growth of debt,” he wrote on Twitter.

At the same time, the minister noted that Germany would continue to strengthen its energy security, increase assistance to Ukraine and strengthen the national armed forces.

Germany’s public debt exceeds €2.3 trillion ($2.4 trillion) and, according to the International Monetary Fund, is 68.3% of the country’s GDP.

Last week, Lindner said in an interview with T-Online news portal that the increase in debt was due to emergency measures during the Covid-19 pandemic and the energy crisis. In this regard, he insisted that the government needed to limit its spending, and therefore the state would not be able to solve current economic problems such as falling wealth.

The EU’s biggest economy has been struggling to cope with skyrocketing energy costs. The nation, which relies mainly on natural gas to power its industry, has vowed to replace imports from its once major supplier – Russia – by as early as mid-2024. However, attempts to diversify gas supplies have contributed to the energy crunch. EU sanctions pressure, maintenance issues, and the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines have further exacerbated the problem.

This year, the German government plans to issue record debt to counter the deepening energy crisis.

According to the Federal Finance Agency, overall federal debt issuance will balloon to about €539 billion ($570 billion), sending servicing costs higher to €42.2 billion ($45 billion) from €15.3 billion ($16 billion).

Dave C.

 

Britain, an “easy touch” ?

 The 10-year route to settling permanently in the UK was one of a series of deliberately tough measures introduced in 2012 as part of a drive to cut net migration. The route is available to people who have strong ties to the UK, such as those having a British child, but who do not earn enough to qualify for faster settlement routes. The cost of settlement has risen dramatically, and fees now exceed £12,800 for each adult, over the course of the decade-long qualification period. Most of the estimated 170,000 people who are seeking to secure the right to remain permanently in the UK through the 10-year route are in low paid occupations, often care workers, cleaners and nursing assistants. 

Applicants must accrue 10 years of continuous lawful residence before they can apply for indefinite leave to remain. The requirement to reapply for renewed visas every 30 months leaves families feeling very insecure. They are subject to the “no recourse to public funds” provision, meaning they cannot usually access benefits or social housing if they need to, or free school meals for their children. Those who find themselves unable to afford the fees every 2.5 years can become undocumented, and become illegal migrants. Home Office delays in the visa renewal process add to the difficulties experienced by people on this route.

Researchers say the full effects of the policy are only now starting to be felt.

More than half the people trying to secure permanent residency in the UK through the Home Office’s “devastating and punishing” 10-year route struggle to afford food and pay bills, a survey has indicated. Researchers said the design of the scheme led to “poverty and insecurity for many”.

A survey of more than 300 people currently or recently making this application process found that 62% struggled to meet the cost of electricity, heating, water and internet, and 57% struggled to buy food, according to the Institute for Public Policy Research study.

Half of people trying to get permanent UK residency by 10-year route struggle to afford food | Home Office | The Guardian

What “Decent” Society?

 30 million people across the United States will have their family’s food assistance slashed, despite high prices and expert warnings about a “hunger cliff.”

Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits were initially increased at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic. Although Republicans in 18 states had already ended the emergency allotments (EAs), households in the other 32 states along with Washington, D.C., Guam, and the U.S. Virgin Islands have continued to receive them. However, the increased SNAP benefits are set to end Wednesday because of the omnibus spending package from December—federal lawmakers traded the temporary pandemic-era boost for a permanent program to feed children in the summer.

 Tracy Roof, an associate professor of political science at the University of Richmond, recently wrote for The Conversation:

“Many advocates for a stronger safety net say that SNAP benefits are too low to meet the needs of low-income people. They are warning of a looming hunger cliff—meaning a sharp increase in the number of people who don’t get enough nutritious food to eat—in March 2023, when the extra help ends.

At that point, the lowest-income families will lose $95 in benefits a month. But some SNAP participants, such as many elderly and disabled people who live alone and on fixed incomes and who only qualify for the minimum amount of help, will see their benefits plummet from $281 to $23 a month.”

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) experts pointed out earlier this month that “a study estimated that EAs kept 4.2 million people above the poverty line in the last quarter of 2021, reducing poverty by 10%―and child poverty by 14%―in states with EAs at the time. The estimated reduction in poverty rates due to EAs was highest for Black and Latino people.”

CBPP president Sharon Parrott warned Axios Tuesday that the cuts will “allow very high levels of poverty to remain in the country.”

Public Citizen President Robert Weissman declared that “a decent society would not let this happen.”

‘A Decent Society Would Not Let This Happen’: 30 Million Across US Face Food Aid Cuts (commondreams.org)

SUVs and Sustainability

 If SUVs were a country, they would rank as the sixth most polluting in the world.

The 330m sport utility vehicles on the roads produced emissions equivalent to the combined national emissions of the UK and Germany last year.

SUVs are larger and heavier than regular cars and use on average 20% more fuel. The increased number of them in 2022 were responsible for a third of the increase in global oil demand.

Purchases of SUVs have soared in recent years, rising from 20% of new cars in 2012 to 46% of all cars last year.

In 2021, the UK’s National Audit Office reported that rising sales of SUVs and an increase in road traffic had cancelled out reductions in CO2 emissions from electric car sales.

Julia Poliscanova, senior director for vehicles and emobility at European campaign group Transport & Environment, said: “Carmakers are culling small cars in pursuit of profit. VW, Stellantis and BMW have all said they are moving towards selling fewer cars and focusing on more premium SUV models. But larger cars put more pressure on the planet.”

Carbon emissions from global SUV fleet outweighs that of most countries | Greenhouse gas emissions | The Guardian

MARCH EVENTS



 Some Socialist Party meetings/talks/discussions are online via Zoom, and some are in-person. Certain branch and committee meetings are held on Discord. Please contact spgb.discord@worldsocialism.org for instructions on how to join Discord.

To connect to any of our Zoom events, click https://zoom.us/j/7421974305 (or type the address into your browser address field) then follow the instructions on screen. You will enter a virtual waiting room – please be patient, you will be admitted to the meeting shortly.

Details of EC and branch business meetings can be found here

WORLD SOCIALIST MOVEMENT ONLINE MEETINGS

Sunday 5 March 11.00 GMT

QUESTIONS ABOUT SOCIALISM (Zoom)

Discussion with enquirer from India

Friday 10 March 19.30 GMT

DID YOU SEE THE NEWS? (Zoom)

Discussion on recent subjects in the news

Friday 17 March 19.30 GMT

THE REWARDS OF COMPETITION: A PRIZE WORTH FIGHTING FOR? (Zoom)

Speaker: Richard Field

We are told that competition is good but is it natural and how does it affect relations between people?

 

Friday 24 March 19.30 GMT

SUSTAINABILITY BEFORE AND AFTER THE REVOLUTION (Zoom)

Speaker: John Cumming

Media people are always trying to spread the blame concerning the environment and thus turn it into just another ‘moral panic’ in which we should all ‘do our bit’. But the effect of what we can do as individuals is limited compared to what might be achieved when we really are ‘all in it together’.

SOCIALIST PARTY IN-PERSON MEETINGS

MANCHESTER

Saturday 18 March, 2pm

SOCIALISM: NOTHING LESS WILL DO

Friends Meeting House, Mount Street, central Manchester.

Capitalism will always be unstable and dangerous to people’s well-being. Its very structure operates against workers’ interests, all the time. Time to stop putting up with it and to replace it with a classless society.

LONDON

Saturday 25 March 12pm

STREET STALL OUTSIDE SOCIALIST PARTY HEAD OFFICE

52 Clapham High St, London SW4 UN

(nearest tube: Clapham North)

Yorkshire Regional Branch

Contact: Fredi Edwards, Tel 07746 230 953 or email fredi.edwards@hotmail.co.uk

The branch meets on the last Saturday of each month at 1 pm in the The Rutland Arms, 86 Brown Street, Sheffield City Centre, S1 2BS (approx 10 minutes’ walk from railway and bus station)

All welcome. Anyone interested in attending should contact the above for confirmation of meeting.

Cardiff Street Stall

Every Saturday 1 – 3pm

Capitol Shopping Centre

Queen Street (Newport Road end)

Weather permitting

Party News

Socialist weekend at Yealand Conyers in Cumbria

After unavoidable interruptions including a pandemic, Lancaster branch is once again organising a socialist residential weekend, from Friday 23 to Sunday 25 June, at the Yealand Quaker Centre in rural Cumbria. This is a sociable get-together for members and non-members in a nice hostel with dorm rooms and self-catering facilities, where we muck in together on the cooking and chores. The last time we did this was in 2019 and it was a pretty enjoyable experience all round (see the report in the August 2019 Socialist Standard – bit.ly/3H9OzkY). The branch will bear the hire cost but is happy to accept pay-what-you-can contributions. You’ll also have to fund your own travel arrangements. Spaces are limited to max 16 so if you’d like to take part please let us know at spgb.lancaster@worldsocialism.org.

Hungry Kids

 The number of UK children in food poverty has nearly doubled in the last year to almost 4 million. 

According to the Food Foundation thinktank, one in five (22%) of households reported skipping meals, going hungry or not eating for a whole day in January, up from 12% at the equivalent point in 2022.

After sustained price rises over the past year, grocery inflation currently stands at 17.1%, the highest level on record. 

An estimated 800,000 children in poverty do not qualify for free school meals. To be eligible households must have an annual income of under £7,400 before benefits and after tax. That threshold has been frozen since 2018, even though prices have risen since then.

Number of UK children in food poverty nearly doubles in a year to 4m | Food poverty | The Guardian

Hungry Kids

 The number of UK children in food poverty has nearly doubled in the last year to almost 4 million. 

According to the Food Foundation thinktank, one in five (22%) of households reported skipping meals, going hungry or not eating for a whole day in January, up from 12% at the equivalent point in 2022.

After sustained price rises over the past year, grocery inflation currently stands at 17.1%, the highest level on record. 

An estimated 800,000 children in poverty do not qualify for free school meals. To be eligible households must have an annual income of under £7,400 before benefits and after tax. That threshold has been frozen since 2018, even though prices have risen since then.

Number of UK children in food poverty nearly doubles in a year to 4m | Food poverty | The Guardian

France Flexes its Military Muscle

 Last week France launched Orion 23, months-long military exercises involving thousands of troops, naval and land vehicles, aircraft and an aircraft carrier. 

It is France’s biggest war games in decades, involving around 12,000 troops including those from NATO allies.  With an estimated cost of €35 million, Orion 23 is being conducted on an unprecedented scale.

The exercises involve personnel from a range of European countries, including Britain, Germany, Italy, Spain, Belgium and the Netherlands – as well as the United States. The exercises are scheduled to end in May and should eventually mobilise 2,300 vehicles, 40 helicopters, some 100 drones and 30 naval vessels, including the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier. 

For the purposes of the war games over the weekend, French troops were landing on “Arnland” – a fictitious allied nation – that was being attacked by its imaginary neighbour, “Mercure”. Mercure, the hypothetical enemy, has military and geostrategic ambitions that may sound familiar to those who have followed the news over the past 12 months: Mercure is trying to establish its regional dominance by financing a separatist militia to destabilise southern Arnland. It has deployed conventional military forces to its neighbouring state, cut off communications and launched a disinformation campaign.  Arnland, weakened and on the verge of collapse, has turned to its allies for help. Around 12,000 troops in total will be deployed on the ground and in the skies to repel a high-intensity air-land invasion of “Arnland” by “Mercure”. 

 France’s military defence spending has been boosted to €413 billion ($446 billion) for the 2024-2030 period – up from €295 billion allocated in the previous budget, a 30% increase.

‘Orion’ military exercises: A fictitious war, but a real test for French troops (france24.com)