Author: ajohnstone

The Pandemic’s Consequence

 The full effect of the pandemic – and ensuing lockdowns – is just starting to become clear as countries take stock

New research focused on Afghanistan, Nepal, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka where there has been more than 186,000 deaths so far, now adds to that tragic mortality toll, 228,000 additional deaths of children under five in these six countries due to crucial services, ranging from nutrition benefits to immunisation, being halted.

It says the number of children being treated for severe malnutrition fell by more than 80% in Bangladesh and Nepal, and immunisation among children dropped by 35% and 65% in India and Pakistan respectively.

The report also says that child mortality rose the highest in India in 2020 – up by 15.4% – followed by Bangladesh at 13%. Sri Lanka saw the sharpest increase in maternal deaths – 21.5% followed by Pakistan’s 21.3%.



It also estimates that there have been some 3.5 million additional unwanted pregnancies, including 400,000 among teenagers, due to poor or no access to contraception.



Covid-19 disruptions killed 228,000 children in South Asia, says UN report – BBC News

India’s Orphan Illnesses

 In India up to 96 million people who may be living with more than 7,000 illnesses defined as rare diseases are not so lucky. India has no budget for rare diseases and health insurance companies do not cover them. Charitable programmes provide for only a very few. 

Half of rare diseases appear in children, of whom a third will die before they turn five. Only 5% of such diseases have a cure. But with medicines for management, patients can have a better and longer life. 

 “A majority of medication for rare diseases is exorbitantly priced and none is manufactured in India,” says Prasanna Shirol, co-founder of Organisation of Rare Diseases India (ORDI), a non-profit umbrella group.

 Newborn screening could diagnose many disorders at birth, since 80% of rare diseases are genetic. But barring a few Indian states, it is unavailable in government-run hospitals, where, in 2018, almost 55% of women gave birth.

Next-generation sequencing – a blood test that can diagnose a human’s entire genetic makeup – is now offered in some private laboratories, shortening the journey to diagnosis. But given the prohibitive costs, it may not be enough.

What price a child’s life? India’s quest to make rare disease drugs affordable | Global development | The Guardian

Italy’s Falling Population

 Prior to the pandemic, birth rates in Italy were already among Europe’s lowest. Now, Italians are having even fewer children.

 Preliminary birth rate figures for Italy show that in December 2020, 15 Italian cities recorded a 21.6% drop in fertility rates compared to 12 months earlier.

Italy’s birth rate is the lowest out of all European states. The number of new marriages has halved, too.

Italian women had around 2.5 children in the 1960s. Today, that rate has fallen to a mere 1.27. 

Italian birth rate sinks further amid pandemic | Europe| News and current affairs from around the continent | DW | 15.03.2021



South Korea’s Falling Numbers

 “So many little towns are at risk of disappearing,” said demographics researcher Choi One-lack at the Korea Economic Research Institute (KERI). “The pace of ageing and birth declines is the worst here among the OECD.”

The population of South Korea, Asia’s fourth-largest economy, has become the world’s fastest-ageing society with the lowest birth rate anywhere in 2020, according to the World Bank.


The Bank of Korea expects the nation will overtake Japan as the oldest society in the world sooner than 2045 – its earlier projection – as its “fertility rate is declining at a much faster pace than expected”


The nation’s fertility rate slid to just 0.84 in 2020 from 4.5 in 1970, Statistics Korea data showed. 


Experts predict serious labour shortage problems.


“Losing workforce will be a bigger hit for countries like South Korea, than say Australia or other resource-rich nations, because the very backbone of the growth engine here has been manpower and technologies,” said KERI’s Choi.


To replenish the workforce, the government plans to encourage more women and senior citizens to work, and create new visas to attract foreign professionals.


10 Years of Bloody Carnage in Syria

 It has been 10 years since peaceful protests against Bashar al-Assad’s government turned into a full-blown civil war. Far too many have died or been crippled. Millions have fled their homes and millions have ended up in poverty.

This blog has followed the developments in Syria from the promise of the Arab Spring to the disastrous destruction of the country by the government’s repressive reaction to the intervention of Islamist terrorists and calculating cold-bloodedness of foreign powers.

SOCIALISM OR YOUR MONEY BACK: Revolution Without Leaders

Our blog’s first report was one of optimism.

 “This is the purest people’s revolution there ever was,” said a Damascus-based activist who is affiliated with two of the groups engaged in encouraging protests. Leaders are nonexistent, he said, and they wouldn’t be welcomed.

 Efforts by exiled opponents of Assad to form a united front have faltered because of an acute awareness that the Syrian street is driving the uprising. No one, least of all the Syrians wants to see a repeat of the Iraq experience, in which exiled leaders with no street credibility are foisted upon those living inside the country.

“The people who are on the streets don’t want a leader,” said Dhia Aldeen Dugmosh, a protest organizer who was detained twice and escaped to Beirut. “Not only the Syrian people, but all the Arab people, are fed up with having a leader.

SOCIALISM OR YOUR MONEY BACK: The Syrian Struggle for Democracy is on Two Fronts

But, sadly, it was not to be. In due course, the blog was carrying accounts of  developments did lead to the formation of self-appointed leaders from various organisations setting up a Syrian National Council, seeking support from such outside parties as “the Friends of Syria” and also the birth of the Free Syrian Army, financed, armed and trained by the Gulf States as well as various Western powers. Into this mix came  the growth of the Muslim Brotherhood and fundamentalist Jihadist Islamic groups, operating under various guises, creating religious sectarianism.

 “We are still many who want a peaceful revolution,” an activist who calls herself Celine says via Skype from Damascus. “But since it became an armed conflict, many people who were sympathetic to our cause have dropped out.”

“Peaceful resistance is a must; if we use weapons we will not be able to succeed as we do not have enough weapons or soldiers,” said Khalaf Ali Al-Khalaf, a Syrian activist from Aleppo. “The military option will increase people’s pain. Providing people with arms will only increase death. The opposition must convince those requesting arms that there is a different method of resistance. We are facing an unusual regime so we have to use unusual methods.”



“The SNC claims to be representative of the Syrian people. That’s just not true,” says Ms. Nseir, a SNC’s spokesperson in Lebanon but nevertheless a critic of it. “They talk only about arming the rebels. They never talk about nonviolent resistance and they certainly do not speak for the ramadieen, or grey people, the silent majority who support neither the regime nor the armed rebels.”

 Safinas’ explains. “Our revolution has been stolen from us…We are fighting two regimes and two armies now.”

Many Syrians who had embraced the opposition now felt alienated by its drift toward extremism and aligned with neither side. The opposition movement once offered hope of a more democratic future. Now many Syrians worried that they could be trading one repressive regime for another.

SOCIALISM OR YOUR MONEY BACK: Syria – A Plague Upon Both Houses



“We won’t be with the regime, but neither are we with the opposition,” said Ahmed, a journalism student at Damascus University. “People like me are still here,” he said,“but who listens to the voice of reason when guns are shooting all the time?”

The non-violent movements that had gathered momentum early on has become side-lined by the Free Syrian Army. The Syrian regime’s bloody crackdown on dissent pushed many Syrian protesters into an armed uprising and call for foreign military intervention. The FSA began as a collection of soldiers who refused to fire on peacefully protesting civilians, who then left the army and began to form militias aimed at protecting these demonstrators. Soon, this purely defensive function gave way to raids and ambushes of government troops, thereby fuelling the regime’s claims that protesters are not peaceful, and that they cannot be dealt with peacefully. We witnessed how the militarisation of the Syrian protests lessened the democratic nature of the opposition by placing the power into the hands of the armed exile groups who have ended up serving the interests of rival nations because it is they who arms them, rather than expressing the genuine will of the Syrian people.

The Syrian civil war had transformed into a proxy war for regional dominance and remains so to this day. There were the hawks who masqueraded as doves justifying military interventionism by saying that it’s necessary to save people from the tyranny at the hands of their own government.

SOCIALISM OR YOUR MONEY BACK: War by Proxy

Rim Turkmani, a member of the Syrian Civil Democratic Alliance, explained :

“Nowadays, people don’t talk about democracy anymore.You don’t talk about the original rights and freedoms, which the people two years ago went to the street to protest for. We’re talking more about ending a war.” A peaceful resolution to the conflict is not something international actors with regional ambitions, such as Saudi Arabia, are interested in, 

Our blog’s constant message has been that any war is brutal and it is dehumanising and the majority of victims will always be the innocent unarmed civilians. Eating the hearts of prisoners and slitting the throats of children should not surprise anyone. Nor should we expect that the atrocities are to be committed solely by one side and not the other

Our alternative is simple and involves no partisanship or bias towards either side in the conflict. Cease fighting and stop shedding blood for those who share not a shred of concern for your welfare and who for their own vested interests want warfare.  Peaceful resistance does not mean no resistance. It does not mean non-action. It involves direct action, like general strikes, which is capable of paralysing the country.  Despots depend on the population’s cooperation and submissiveness – and if the people effectively withhold their consent, even the strongest of regimes can collapse. Without the consent of working people – either their active support or their passive acquiescence the ruling class would have little power and little basis for rule. Non-violence is not passive, nor is it a way of avoiding conflict. Any non-violent movement that takes on a well-entrenched dictatorship will suffer casualties. Nor is there any guarantee of success, even in the long run as we have seen in Syria. However the other option, entails an even greater price in lives lost and ruined.

Today, it is the turn of the people of Myanmar, Hong Kong and elsewhere to learn the harsh lessons that if you go over to violence, the soldiers will not mutiny. They will be loyal to their officers and the Tatmadaw will have a good chance to survive.  An armed response from the protesters will not succeed, as the regime is invariably stronger on the military front. As soon as you choose to fight with violence you’re choosing to fight against opponents in possession of the best weapons. The state’s police and army are better trained in using those weapons. And they  control the infrastructure that allows them to deploy them. To fight dictators with violence is to cede to them the choice of battleground and tactics. Using violence against  experts in it is the quickest way to have a movement crushed. That is why governments frequently infiltrate opposition groups with agent provocateurs—to sidetrack the movement into violent acts that the police and security agencies can deal with. 

Non-violence is an aspect of resistance that the normal forces of coercion are ill-prepared for. The success or failure of any peaceful revolt largely depends on the campaign’s ability to undermine the regimes supporters and weaken the allegiance of its civil servants, police and soldiers to the regime; to persuade those neutrals sitting on the fence to join the opposition. The worse the regime suppresses protests, the more steadfast ought the opposition be in its commitment to non-violence and the more the people resist, the more we will realise our own collective strength.




Pursuing Happiness?

 The pursuit of happiness is a phrase penned by the American Founding Fathers in the Declaration of Independence. Since it has never even come close to being achieved, the American people have sought their own means.

$150 billion is spent in the USA on illegal drugs each year and a comparable amount on alcohol.

 Nearly one in five people in the USA aged twelve and older (19.4%) took illegal drugs in 2018.

In 2018, an estimated 10.3 million people aged 12 or older misused opioids in the past year, including 9.9 million prescription pain reliever misusers and 808,000 heroin users. Approximately 506,000 people misused prescription pain relievers and used heroin in 2018.

 19.1% or 47.6 million people in the USA had a mental illness, an emotional disorder or a behavioral one in 2018 while representing an impaired state of being so severe that it impinged upon the quality of life.

One in seven adolescents (14.4%) or 3.5 million had a major depressive episode in 2018

Amongst young adults aged 18 to twenty-five 13.8% or 4.6 million had a major depressive episode.

Concerning substance abuse treatment in 2018, “an estimated 21.2 million people aged 12 or older needed substance use treatment.

This number translates to about 1 in 13 people who needed treatment (7.8 percent). About 1 in 26 adolescents aged 12 to 17 (3.8 percent), about 1 in 7 young adults aged 18 to 25 (15.3 percent), and 1 in 14 adults aged 26 or older (7.0 percent) needed treatment.”

Drugs, Substance Abuse and Mental Issues in the USA  | Countercurrents

USA – The main weapon supplier



The US accounted for 37% of global arms sales during the 2016-2020 period and sold arms to 96 countries.

 Almost half of its sales went to the Middle East, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said. 

US exports increased 15% compared to the 2011-2015 period.

Middle Eastern countries accounted for the biggest increase in arms imports, up 25% in 2016–20 from 2011–15. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest arms importer, increased its arms imports by 61% and Qatar by 361%. United Arab Emirates recently signed an agreement with the United States to purchase 50 F-35 jets and up to 18 armed drones as part of a $23 billion package.

SIPRI: Saudi Arabia largest importer of arms, US biggest exporter | News | DW | 15.03.2021

Gas warfare in Syria – Who is to blame?

 During the build-up towards the 2003 invasion of Iraq there was a sustained attempt by the pro-war advocates to influence the investigations of both Hans Blix’s WMD inspectors and the El Baradei nuclear weapon inspectors. Both agencies were targeted by US and UK governments to undermine their independence. 

It now appears that a very similar strategy was undertaken at the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in its search for the truth about the 2018 use of chemical weapons at Douma in Syria, which the OPCW final report suggested was the result of a Syrian government attack. 

Dissenting opinions at the OPCW have been in effect silenced and those officials criticised and discredited by the organisation itself.

It has resulted in a pushback by them when they became signatories of an open letter accusing the OPCW of being unduly swayed by outside political actors – the US, UK and France.

 A  “Statement of Concern” was signed by five former OPCW officials, as well as the first Director General of the OPCW, José Bustani, along with leading political commentators.

This blog has no way of knowing the real truth of the toxic gas attack at Douma but now from past experience has less confidence in the objectivity and neutrality of various international organisations.

For further background 

5 former OPCW officials join prominent voices to call out Syria cover-up | The Grayzone