“Bill Clinton sought to lead from the “center,” but by then the “center” had moved so far right that Clinton gutted public assistance, enacted “tough on crime” policies that unjustly burdened the poor and people of color, and deregulated Wall Street. All of which put me further to the left of the center—although my political views had barely changed.” – Robert Reich, served as secretary of labor in the Clinton administration
Quote of the Day
“Bill Clinton sought to lead from the “center,” but by then the “center” had moved so far right that Clinton gutted public assistance, enacted “tough on crime” policies that unjustly burdened the poor and people of color, and deregulated Wall Street. All of which put me further to the left of the center—although my political views had barely changed.” – Robert Reich, served as secretary of labor in the Clinton administration
Climate Change and Political Crises
Climate change is both “risk” and “threat multipliers”. The Bay of Bengal coast, home to a quarter of the world’s population, is a perfect example of the fight over fast-disappearing land. Disastrous floods, deadly heatwaves and devastating cyclones are taking a heavy toll in the Bay of Bengal region, which covers more than 2 million sq km (772,204 sq miles.) Rising sea levels, in particular, could result in land and infrastructure loss in the future, besides altering the location and allocation of strategic military assets, researchers said.
Military and civil conflicts could intensify along the Bay of Bengal coastline, fuelled by climate change-linked migration, land loss and displacement, researchers a report, by think-tanks the Netherlands-based Clingendael Institute and India’s Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, said. The area is seeing frequent extreme weather, which combined with its strategic, social and economic fault-lines, makes it “fertile ground” for social friction and violence, they warned
The region was already dotted with conflicts over resources, identity and growing migration flows. The report pointed to conflicts between social groups, communities and the state over control of valuable but shrinking natural resources like land, forests, water and minerals. It also pointed to a dozen ethnic separatist movements triggered by conflict over resources in Northeast India.
“Climate change can widen socio-economic divides that in some cases can snowball into political instability and widen conflicts,” said Angshuman Choudhury, one of the report authors. “Migration is a key link in this chain of consequences… The so-called ‘insider versus outsider’ conflicts are increasing,” he said, referring to tensions between those on the move and their host communities.”
Pointing to porous international borders cutting across countries that are home to socio-culturally similar groups, the report flagged growing conflicts triggered by migration, identifying “climate-induced” movement as a key driver. In India, anti-immigrant violence in northeast Assam state has been triggered by people moving across the India-Bangladesh border, while Bangladesh has seen local protests against Rohingya refugees from Myanmar.
Climate pressures could also aggravate land depletion, dispossession and degradation, fuelling economic and social insecurity among agrarian communities and ethnic minorities, leading to new phases of violent conflict, the report added.
“Climate change increases the risk of various types of violence and human insecurity,” said Florian Krampe, director of the climate change and risk programme at SIPRI, a Swedish institute dedicated to research into conflict and disarmament.
Climate migration worsens conflicts in Bay of Bengal region (trust.org)
Bernie Rails Against the Oligarchy
The blog may hold its own deep differences with Bernie Sanders but we do acknowledge his useful role in that he does occasionally brings to the US public some uncomfortable home truths.
He did so in a recent Senate speech.
“While the vast majority of people in our country are hurting emotionally, they’re hurting economically, these are not difficult times for everybody,” he explained. “If you are a billionaire in this country or a CEO of a large corporation… these times have not been bad; they have, in fact, have been very, very good.”
As people nationwide worry about “soaring” gas prices, fossil fuel giants “are making huge profits,” Sanders said, also noting it was the same in the food industry.
The senator pointed out that chief executives now make about 350 times more than the average U.S. worker.
“The top one per cent owns more wealth than the bottom 92 per cent. Rather amazingly, two of the wealthiest people in America now own more wealth than the bottom 42 per cent,” the Senate Budget Committee chair said.
“When we speak about oligarchy, we should all understand that we’re not just talking about massive levels of income and wealth inequality,” Sanders emphasized. “We should all understand that never before in American history have so few owned so much.”
“And this issue—the issue of the incredible concentration of ownership in our country—is almost never talked about here in Congress or in the corporate media,” he continued, “and that has a lot to do with the corrupt political system that we operate under, where many members of Congress receive huge campaign contributions from these very same people.”
Sanders took aim at three Wall Street firms, BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street.
They collectively manage over $21 trillion in assets, or more than the gross domestic product of the United States, the world’s largest economy.
These three firms, Sanders explained, “are major shareholders in more than 96% of S&P 500 companies.” They “are the largest shareholders in some of the biggest banks in America” and “are among the top owners of the four major airlines.” BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street also “own an average of 20% of the major drug companies,”
He also said that a handful of firms “are now the major owners of rental housing” and ” control half of the newspapers” in the country.
He compared the conditions of ordinary American workers.
“The reality is that tens of millions of working-class people, lower-income people, in the wealthiest country on Earth, are suffering today under incredible economic hardship, desperately trying day to day to survive.”
While “half of the people in our country are living paycheck to paycheck and tens of millions of our people are an accident, a divorce, an illness, or a layoff away from economic devastation,” Sanders noted, “over 80 million Americas are uninsured or under-insured and tens of thousands die each and every year because they don’t get to a doctor when they should.”
“Many public schools throughout our country lack the resources to adequately educate our young people, or pay their teachers the wages those teachers deserve; at the same time we are the most heavily incarcerated nation on Earth,” he added. “Meanwhile, 45 million Americans who did go to college… are now drowning in $1.8 trillion in student debt.”
“[Americans]work long hours for low wages. They worry about their kids. They can’t afford healthcare. They see their jobs going to other countries.”
Polls show they are “giving up on democracy.” Faced with such conditions, Sanders said, voters are frustrated with elected officials and wondering: “Do they live in the real world? Do they understand what is going on in our lives or are they too busy going out raising campaign contributions from the rich and the powerful?”
“Maybe the time is approaching that we should offer a unanimous resolution congratulating the billionaire class for their enormous success in moving this country into the oligarchic form of society that they have long desired,” Sanders said.
The Bankers Bonuses
British bankers will start collecting the biggest bonuses since before the 2008 global financial crisis.
As most Britons face the biggest squeeze on their incomes since at least 1990, already very highly paid bankers are celebrating “particularly obscene” bonuses.
London’s mergers and acquisitions (M&A) bankers earned total fees of $3.5bn (£2.6bn) in 2021.
London’s big four banks – HSBC, Barclays, Lloyds Banking Group and NatWest – are expected to pay out bonuses totalling more than £4bn when they report their annual results in the next fortnight.
Combined, the banks’ annual profits are expected to exceed £34bn – the most since 2007 in the boom before the financial crisis.
The bumper bonuses will tip several hundred more UK bankers into the EU’s “high earners” warning report which details every banker earning more than €1m (£835,000) a year. The European Banking Authority (EBA) found that 3,519 bankers working in the UK earned more than €1m-a-year last year – more than seven times as many as those working in Germany which has the second-highest number of €1m-a-year bankers.
The EBA figures show 27 UK bankers earned more than €10m in 2019 (the latest year available). Two UK-based asset managers were paid between €38m and €39m, and one merchant banker was paid €64.8m. That banker received fixed pay of €242,000, topped up with a bonus of €64.6m.
Figures released on Tuesday by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that average pay in the public sector rose by 2.6% between October and December 2021, while those working in business and finance saw their pay grow by 8.1% due to “an increase in bonus payments”.
Gary Smith, general secretary of the GMB union, which represents 600,000 mostly frontline workers, said: “These sky-high banker bonuses are a kick in the teeth for everyone suffering with the cost of living crisis. I hope Andrew Bailey tells his banking mates to show the same ‘restraint’ he so readily demands from underpaid workers in the rest of the economy. Essential workers, like our nation’s carers, often earn pennies above the minimum wage,” Smith said. “Mr Bailey should step out of his banking bubble and shadow these workers to see the people who actually deserve a proper pay rise.”
Frances O’Grady, the general secretary of trade union body the TUC, said the huge increase in bankers’ pay was “an insult to working families across Britain”.
“While millions struggle with the cost of living, executive bankers are set to receive yet another cash windfall,” she said. “At a time when workers are being told not to ask for a decent pay rise, no such restraint is being asked of the City. We should be holding down bonuses, not ordinary people’s wages.”
Luke Hildyard, the director of the High Pay Centre, which campaigns for executive pay restraint, said: “Decades of economic deference to the super rich have brought us to a point where bankers are raking in historic pay awards while the rest of the country is crippled by rising prices and wage stagnation…”
Korean Golden Spoons
Derived from the English expression that refers to those born into privilege “with a silver spoon in their mouth”, a geumsujeo , a “gold spoon” is someone from the top 1% of high-income households in South Korea. It’s often used to refer to the children of super-rich families.
The term “dirt spoons” represents the other end of the spectrum.
Films and TV dramas like Parasite and Squid Game have highlighted the “gold spoon-dirt spoon” divide.
Korean millennials, like their peers in many developed countries, are bearing the brunt of increasing class inequality.
These days, it’s near impossible for a young Korean to buy a home on an average company salary.
A growing number no longer trust that hard work will deliver dues; many instead believe that success in life depends on the family you’re born into.
Education is also no longer the great social leveller, when some 70% of school-leavers go on to university. People’s faith in the university system has also been tarnished by nepotism scandals.
“We’re now at the point where some people genuinely believe that Korea does not offer social mobility,” Se-Woong Koo, the editor of Korean Exposé, a newsletter focusing on contemporary Korea, said.
“The only way to be well-off is to have rich parents or to marry money. And as a result, many people aspire to belong to that ‘gold spoon’ generation who appear to have it so easy.”
Single’s Inferno: Why ‘fake’ rich girl Song Ji-a enraged South Korea – BBC News
Germany’s Changing Demographics
Germany was the first country in the world to experience a surplus of deaths. Every year since 1972, fewer people were born there than died. Before 1990, this also started happening in Hungary (1982) and the Czech Republic (1986).
By the middle of the current century, however, all countries in Europe, with the exception of Norway and Sweden, are expected to see natural population growth turn negative. Populous countries such as Brazil and China are also projected to experience this change before 2050.
Migration also plays a major role in the equation and can prop up population growth if a country is able to attract (and willing to admit) enough migrants. Germany, despite its long history of net negative births, benefits from an immigration surplus, meaning that more people immigrate to the country than emigrate in most years, with the effect that its population continues to grow slightly.
Germany wants to attract 400,000 qualified workers from abroad each year to tackle both a demographic imbalance and labour shortages in key sectors.
After decades of low birth rates and uneven migration, a shrinking labour force also poses a demographic time bomb for Germany’s public pension system, in which fewer employees are burdened with the task of financing the pensions of a growing mass of retirees who are enjoying longer life expectancy.
“The shortage of skilled workers has become so serious by now that it is dramatically slowing down our economy,” Christian Duerr, parliamentary leader of the co-governing Free Democrats (FDP), told business magazine WirtschaftsWoche. “We can only get the problem of an ageing workforce under control with a modern immigration policy… We have to reach the mark of 400,000 skilled workers from abroad as quickly as possible.”
The German Economic Institute estimates that the labour force will shrink by more than 300,000 people this year as there are more older workers retiring than younger ones entering the labour market. This gap is expected to widen to more than 650,000 in 2029, leaving an accumulated shortage of people of working age in 2030 of roughly 5 million.
Germany wants to attract 400,000 skilled workers from abroad each year (yahoo.com)
The End Of Natural Population Growth? | ZeroHedge
Cream for the Fat Cat
After scraping by on just $31.5 million a year in both 2019 and 2020, JPMorgan’s board has decided that CEO Jamie Dimon deserves a pay rise in 2021
His 10% pay-rise notably outweighs inflation though as the package includes $28 million of restricted stock tied to performance, an annual base salary of $1.5 million and a $5 million cash bonus – pushing his total compensation up 10% to $34.5 million.
Jamie Dimon Gets Pay-Rise To $34.5 Million In 2021, Goldman Banker Bonuses Surge 40-50% | ZeroHedge
Asia’s Inequality
The Asia-Pacific region comprises 58 countries and territories. The Asia-Pacific region is home to approximately 4.5 billion people.
The wealthiest 5% of the population controlling close to 70% of total wealth in the region,” reports the Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
Approximately half of all urban dwellers in South Asia live in slums. In large countries such as Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines, Thailand and Viet Nam, 30 to 60% of the urban population lives in slums
Sharp inequalities continue to be persistent in the region, with nearly 2 in 4 people still unable to afford a healthy diet. 1.9 billion people are unable to afford a healthy diet, driven by high prices of fruits, vegetables and dairy products, making it impossible for the poor to achieve healthy diets.
About 350.6 million people in the Asia and Pacific region are estimated to have been undernourished in 2019, about 51% of the world’s total of undernourished people.
An estimated 74.5 million children under five years of age were stunted and a total of 31.5 million were wasted in the Asia and Pacific region. The majority of these children in the region live in Southern Asia with 55.9 million stunted and 25.2 million wasted children.”
Estimates predict a 14.3% increase in the prevalence of moderate or severe wasting among children under 5 years of age, equal to an additional 6.7 million children, due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Pre-Grenfell Tests Confirm cladding flamable risk
A cladding system similar to the one used at Grenfell Tower spectacularly failed safety tests in 2001, the public inquiry into the disaster has heard.
Tests had resulted in a “very rapid, very large fire” and had to be stopped.
For the first time, the Building Research Establishment (BRE) confirmed publicly the tests had resulted in 20m (65ft) flames.
Sarah Colwell from the BRE told the inquiry the results were passed to the government to “alert and identify” the problem. If the results had been widely disseminated, it is possible the Grenfell cladding would not have been installed.
Despite the test, the aluminium cladding had the best national rating for fire spread – Class zero – a standard which has been discredited since the Grenfell Tower fire. Despite the obvious fire risks the aluminium cladding was not specifically banned, and continued to be used on buildings.
Cladding companies claimed they had been horrified by how fast the flames spread, and that they had not been aware of the risks of aluminium and plastic cladding. A document produced by the BRE in 2006 following the tests did not mention the 2001 test results.
Grenfell Tower: Earlier cladding fire test was ‘catastrophic failure’ – BBC News